One-observation-ahead residuals. Total number of observations: 820 [1] 820 [1] 819 [1] 818 [1] 817 [1] 816 [1] 815 [1] 814 [1] 813 [1] 812 [1] 811 [1] 810 [1] 809 [1] 808 [1] 807 [1] 806 [1] 805 [1] 804 [1] 803 [1] 802 [1] 801 [1] 800 [1] 799 [1] 798 [1] 797 [1] 796 [1] 795 [1] 794 [1] 793 [1] 792 [1] 791 [1] 790 [1] 789 [1] 788 [1] 787 [1] 786 [1] 785 [1] 784 [1] 783 [1] 782 [1] 781 [1] 780 [1] 779 [1] 778 [1] 777 [1] 776 [1] 775 [1] 774 [1] 773 [1] 772 [1] 771 [1] 770 [1] 769 [1] 768 [1] 767 [1] 766 [1] 765 [1] 764 [1] 763 [1] 762 [1] 761 [1] 760 [1] 759 [1] 758 [1] 757 [1] 756 [1] 755 [1] 754 [1] 753 [1] 752 [1] 751 [1] 750 [1] 749 [1] 748 [1] 747 [1] 746 [1] 745 [1] 744 [1] 743 [1] 742 [1] 741 [1] 740 [1] 739 [1] 738 [1] 737 [1] 736 [1] 735 [1] 734 [1] 733 [1] 732 [1] 731 [1] 730 [1] 729 [1] 728 [1] 727 [1] 726 [1] 725 [1] 724 [1] 723 [1] 722 [1] 721 [1] 720 [1] 719 [1] 718 [1] 717 [1] 716 [1] 715 [1] 714 [1] 713 [1] 712 [1] 711 [1] 710 [1] 709 [1] 708 [1] 707 [1] 706 [1] 705 [1] 704 [1] 703 [1] 702 [1] 701 [1] 700 [1] 699 [1] 698 [1] 697 [1] 696 [1] 695 [1] 694 [1] 693 [1] 692 [1] 691 [1] 690 [1] 689 [1] 688 [1] 687 [1] 686 [1] 685 [1] 684 [1] 683 [1] 682 [1] 681 [1] 680 [1] 679 [1] 678 [1] 677 [1] 676 [1] 675 [1] 674 [1] 673 [1] 672 [1] 671 [1] 670 [1] 669 [1] 668 [1] 667 [1] 666 [1] 665 [1] 664 [1] 663 [1] 662 [1] 661 [1] 660 [1] 659 [1] 658 [1] 657 [1] 656 [1] 655 [1] 654 [1] 653 [1] 652 [1] 651 [1] 650 [1] 649 [1] 648 [1] 647 [1] 646 [1] 645 [1] 644 [1] 643 [1] 642 [1] 641 [1] 640 [1] 639 [1] 638 [1] 637 [1] 636 [1] 635 [1] 634 [1] 633 [1] 632 [1] 631 [1] 630 [1] 629 [1] 628 [1] 627 [1] 626 [1] 625 [1] 624 [1] 623 [1] 622 [1] 621 [1] 620 [1] 619 [1] 618 [1] 617 [1] 616 [1] 615 [1] 614 [1] 613 [1] 612 [1] 611 [1] 610 [1] 609 [1] 608 [1] 607 [1] 606 [1] 605 [1] 604 [1] 603 [1] 602 [1] 601 [1] 600 [1] 599 [1] 598 [1] 597 [1] 596 [1] 595 [1] 594 [1] 593 [1] 592 [1] 591 [1] 590 [1] 589 [1] 588 [1] 587 [1] 586 [1] 585 [1] 584 [1] 583 [1] 582 [1] 581 [1] 580 [1] 579 [1] 578 [1] 577 [1] 576 [1] 575 [1] 574 [1] 573 [1] 572 [1] 571 [1] 570 [1] 569 [1] 568 [1] 567 [1] 566 [1] 565 [1] 564 [1] 563 [1] 562 [1] 561 [1] 560 [1] 559 [1] 558 [1] 557 [1] 556 [1] 555 [1] 554 [1] 553 [1] 552 [1] 551 [1] 550 [1] 549 [1] 548 [1] 547 [1] 546 [1] 545 [1] 544 [1] 543 [1] 542 [1] 541 [1] 540 [1] 539 [1] 538 [1] 537 [1] 536 [1] 535 [1] 534 [1] 533 [1] 532 [1] 531 [1] 530 [1] 529 [1] 528 [1] 527 [1] 526 [1] 525 [1] 524 [1] 523 [1] 522 [1] 521 [1] 520 [1] 519 [1] 518 [1] 517 [1] 516 [1] 515 [1] 514 [1] 513 [1] 512 [1] 511 [1] 510 [1] 509 [1] 508 [1] 507 [1] 506 [1] 505 [1] 504 [1] 503 [1] 502 [1] 501 [1] 500 [1] 499 [1] 498 [1] 497 [1] 496 [1] 495 [1] 494 [1] 493 [1] 492 [1] 491 [1] 490 [1] 489 [1] 488 [1] 487 [1] 486 [1] 485 [1] 484 [1] 483 [1] 482 [1] 481 [1] 480 [1] 479 [1] 478 [1] 477 [1] 476 [1] 475 [1] 474 [1] 473 [1] 472 [1] 471 [1] 470 [1] 469 [1] 468 [1] 467 [1] 466 [1] 465 [1] 464 [1] 463 [1] 462 [1] 461 [1] 460 [1] 459 [1] 458 [1] 457 [1] 456 [1] 455 [1] 454 [1] 453 [1] 452 [1] 451 [1] 450 [1] 449 [1] 448 [1] 447 [1] 446 [1] 445 [1] 444 [1] 443 [1] 442 [1] 441 [1] 440 [1] 439 [1] 438 [1] 437 [1] 436 [1] 435 [1] 434 [1] 433 [1] 432 [1] 431 [1] 430 [1] 429 [1] 428 [1] 427 [1] 426 [1] 425 [1] 424 [1] 423 [1] 422 [1] 421 [1] 420 [1] 419 [1] 418 [1] 417 [1] 416 [1] 415 [1] 414 [1] 413 [1] 412 [1] 411 [1] 410 [1] 409 [1] 408 [1] 407 [1] 406 [1] 405 [1] 404 [1] 403 [1] 402 [1] 401 [1] 400 [1] 399 [1] 398 [1] 397 [1] 396 [1] 395 [1] 394 [1] 393 [1] 392 [1] 391 [1] 390 [1] 389 [1] 388 [1] 387 [1] 386 [1] 385 [1] 384 [1] 383 [1] 382 [1] 381 [1] 380 [1] 379 [1] 378 [1] 377 [1] 376 [1] 375 [1] 374 [1] 373 [1] 372 [1] 371 [1] 370 [1] 369 [1] 368 [1] 367 [1] 366 [1] 365 [1] 364 [1] 363 [1] 362 [1] 361 [1] 360 [1] 359 [1] 358 [1] 357 [1] 356 [1] 355 [1] 354 [1] 353 [1] 352 [1] 351 [1] 350 [1] 349 [1] 348 [1] 347 [1] 346 [1] 345 [1] 344 [1] 343 [1] 342 [1] 341 [1] 340 [1] 339 [1] 338 [1] 337 [1] 336 [1] 335 [1] 334 [1] 333 [1] 332 [1] 331 [1] 330 [1] 329 [1] 328 [1] 327 [1] 326 [1] 325 [1] 324 [1] 323 [1] 322 [1] 321 [1] 320 [1] 319 [1] 318 [1] 317 [1] 316 [1] 315 [1] 314 [1] 313 [1] 312 [1] 311 [1] 310 [1] 309 [1] 308 [1] 307 [1] 306 [1] 305 [1] 304 [1] 303 [1] 302 [1] 301 [1] 300 [1] 299 [1] 298 [1] 297 [1] 296 [1] 295 [1] 294 [1] 293 [1] 292 [1] 291 [1] 290 [1] 289 [1] 288 [1] 287 [1] 286 [1] 285 [1] 284 [1] 283 [1] 282 [1] 281 [1] 280 [1] 279 [1] 278 [1] 277 [1] 276 [1] 275 [1] 274 [1] 273 [1] 272 [1] 271 [1] 270 [1] 269 [1] 268 [1] 267 [1] 266 [1] 265 [1] 264 [1] 263 [1] 262 [1] 261 [1] 260 [1] 259 [1] 258 [1] 257 [1] 256 [1] 255 [1] 254 [1] 253 [1] 252 [1] 251 [1] 250 [1] 249 [1] 248 [1] 247 [1] 246 [1] 245 [1] 244 [1] 243 [1] 242 [1] 241 [1] 240 [1] 239 [1] 238 [1] 237 [1] 236 [1] 235 [1] 234 [1] 233 [1] 232 [1] 231 [1] 230 [1] 229 [1] 228 [1] 227 [1] 226 [1] 225 [1] 224 [1] 223 [1] 222 [1] 221 [1] 220 [1] 219 [1] 218 [1] 217 [1] 216 [1] 215 [1] 214 [1] 213 [1] 212 [1] 211 [1] 210 [1] 209 [1] 208 [1] 207 [1] 206 [1] 205 [1] 204 [1] 203 [1] 202 [1] 201 [1] 200 [1] 199 [1] 198 [1] 197 [1] 196 [1] 195 [1] 194 [1] 193 [1] 192 [1] 191 [1] 190 [1] 189 [1] 188 [1] 187 [1] 186 [1] 185 [1] 184 [1] 183 [1] 182 [1] 181 [1] 180 [1] 179 [1] 178 [1] 177 [1] 176 [1] 175 [1] 174 [1] 173 [1] 172 [1] 171 [1] 170 [1] 169 [1] 168 [1] 167 [1] 166 [1] 165 [1] 164 [1] 163 [1] 162 [1] 161 [1] 160 [1] 159 [1] 158 [1] 157 [1] 156 [1] 155 [1] 154 [1] 153 [1] 152 [1] 151 [1] 150 [1] 149 [1] 148 [1] 147 [1] 146 [1] 145 [1] 144 [1] 143 [1] 142 [1] 141 [1] 140 [1] 139 [1] 138 [1] 137 [1] 136 [1] 135 [1] 134 [1] 133 [1] 132 [1] 131 [1] 130 [1] 129 [1] 128 [1] 127 [1] 126 [1] 125 [1] 124 [1] 123 [1] 122 [1] 121 [1] 120 [1] 119 [1] 118 [1] 117 [1] 116 [1] 115 [1] 114 [1] 113 [1] 112 [1] 111 [1] 110 [1] 109 [1] 108 [1] 107 [1] 106 [1] 105 [1] 104 [1] 103 [1] 102 [1] 101 [1] 100 [1] 99 [1] 98 [1] 97 [1] 96 [1] 95 [1] 94 [1] 93 [1] 92 [1] 91 [1] 90 [1] 89 [1] 88 [1] 87 [1] 86 [1] 85 [1] 84 [1] 83 [1] 82 [1] 81 [1] 80 [1] 79 [1] 78 [1] 77 [1] 76 [1] 75 [1] 74 [1] 73 [1] 72 [1] 71 [1] 70 [1] 69 [1] 68 [1] 67 [1] 66 [1] 65 [1] 64 [1] 63 [1] 62 [1] 61 [1] 60 [1] 59 [1] 58 [1] 57 [1] 56 [1] 55 [1] 54 [1] 53 [1] 52 [1] 51 [1] 50 [1] 49 [1] 48 [1] 47 [1] 46 [1] 45 [1] 44 [1] 43 [1] 42 [1] 41 [1] 40 [1] 39 [1] 38 [1] 37 [1] 36 [1] 35 [1] 34 [1] 33 [1] 32 [1] 31 [1] 30 [1] 29 [1] 28 [1] 27 [1] 26 [1] 25 [1] 24 [1] 23 [1] 22 [1] 21 [1] 20 [1] 19 [1] 18 [1] 17 [1] 16 [1] 15 [1] 14 [1] 13 [1] 12 [1] 11 [1] 10 [1] 9 [1] 8 [1] 7 [1] 6 [1] 5 [1] 4 [1] 3 [1] 2 [1] 1 One-observation-ahead residuals. Done iter: 1 mgc: 9.819777e-10 Matching hessian patterns... Done outer mgc: 3.90199e-12 iter: 1 value: -725.7941 mgc: 0.003975562 ustep: 1 iter: 2 value: -725.7941 mgc: 3.80454e-08 ustep: 1 iter: 3 mgc: 2.771117e-13 outer mgc: 0.02742521 iter: 1 value: -725.7942 mgc: 0.003975562 ustep: 1 iter: 2 value: -725.7942 mgc: 3.804172e-08 ustep: 1 iter: 3 mgc: 2.162714e-13 outer mgc: 0.02742515 iter: 1 value: -725.7941 mgc: 0.003975562 ustep: 1 iter: 2 value: -725.7941 mgc: 9.54438e-08 ustep: 1 iter: 3 mgc: 2.211564e-13 outer mgc: 0.02788066 iter: 1 value: -725.7942 mgc: 0.003975562 ustep: 1 iter: 2 value: -725.7942 mgc: 9.543212e-08 ustep: 1 iter: 3 mgc: 2.113865e-13 outer mgc: 0.02788062 iter: 1 value: -725.7941 mgc: 0.003975562 ustep: 1 iter: 2 value: -725.7941 mgc: 1.354198e-07 ustep: 1 iter: 3 mgc: 2.071676e-13 outer mgc: 0.02786938 iter: 1 value: -725.7942 mgc: 0.003975562 ustep: 1 iter: 2 value: -725.7942 mgc: 1.353963e-07 ustep: 1 iter: 3 mgc: 2.220446e-13 outer mgc: 0.02786935 iter: 1 value: -725.794 mgc: 0.003975562 ustep: 1 iter: 2 value: -725.794 mgc: 8.472396e-07 ustep: 1 iter: 3 mgc: 2.176037e-13 outer mgc: 0.0470003 iter: 1 value: -725.7943 mgc: 0.003975562 ustep: 1 iter: 2 value: -725.7943 mgc: 8.467767e-07 ustep: 1 iter: 3 mgc: 2.629008e-13 outer mgc: 0.04699845 iter: 1 value: -725.7941 mgc: 0.04211461 ustep: 1 iter: 2 value: -725.7941 mgc: 1.169143e-06 ustep: 1 iter: 3 mgc: 2.282619e-13 outer mgc: 0.2268599 iter: 1 value: -725.794 mgc: 0.04211461 ustep: 1 iter: 2 value: -725.794 mgc: 1.169099e-06 ustep: 1 iter: 3 mgc: 1.971756e-13 outer mgc: 0.2268593 iter: 1 value: -725.7941 mgc: 0.0344664 ustep: 1 iter: 2 value: -725.7941 mgc: 2.486646e-06 ustep: 1 iter: 3 mgc: 3.743672e-13 outer mgc: 0.2940992 iter: 1 value: -725.7939 mgc: 0.0344664 ustep: 1 iter: 2 value: -725.7939 mgc: 2.485074e-06 ustep: 1 iter: 3 mgc: 3.992362e-13 outer mgc: 0.2941022 iter: 1 value: -725.7941 mgc: 0.04097124 ustep: 1 iter: 2 value: -725.7941 mgc: 3.42617e-06 ustep: 1 iter: 3 mgc: 4.147793e-13 outer mgc: 0.2468018 iter: 1 value: -725.794 mgc: 0.04097124 ustep: 1 iter: 2 value: -725.794 mgc: 3.423724e-06 ustep: 1 iter: 3 mgc: 4.347633e-13 outer mgc: 0.246806 iter: 1 value: -725.7942 mgc: 0.01532684 ustep: 1 iter: 2 value: -725.7942 mgc: 1.327581e-05 ustep: 1 iter: 3 mgc: 1.367662e-11 outer mgc: 0.1636377 iter: 1 value: -725.7939 mgc: 0.01532684 ustep: 1 iter: 2 value: -725.7939 mgc: 1.323676e-05 ustep: 1 iter: 3 mgc: 1.363221e-11 outer mgc: 0.1636329 iter: 1 value: -725.5321 mgc: 0.02586827 ustep: 1 iter: 2 value: -725.5321 mgc: 2.702149e-06 ustep: 1 iter: 3 mgc: 2.033929e-13 outer mgc: 0.2687662 iter: 1 value: -726.0562 mgc: 0.02592006 ustep: 1 iter: 2 value: -726.0562 mgc: 2.70247e-06 ustep: 1 iter: 3 mgc: 2.2915e-13 outer mgc: 0.2688766 iter: 1 value: -725.7876 mgc: 0.01003415 ustep: 1 iter: 2 value: -725.7876 mgc: 3.110739e-07 ustep: 1 iter: 3 mgc: 2.149392e-13 outer mgc: 0.1056022 iter: 1 value: -725.8007 mgc: 0.01005424 ustep: 1 iter: 2 value: -725.8007 mgc: 3.121023e-07 ustep: 1 iter: 3 mgc: 2.202682e-13 outer mgc: 0.1057313 iter: 1 value: -725.3164 mgc: 0.02481322 ustep: 1 iter: 2 value: -725.3164 mgc: 5.367814e-06 ustep: 1 iter: 3 mgc: 2.984279e-13 outer mgc: 0.2330315 iter: 1 value: -726.2719 mgc: 0.0248629 ustep: 1 iter: 2 value: -726.2719 mgc: 5.38518e-06 ustep: 1 iter: 3 mgc: 2.415845e-13 outer mgc: 0.233135 iter: 1 value: -725.6599 mgc: 0.01225814 ustep: 1 iter: 2 value: -725.6599 mgc: 1.000114e-06 ustep: 1 iter: 3 mgc: 2.400302e-13 outer mgc: 0.4943069 iter: 1 value: -725.9284 mgc: 0.01227041 ustep: 1 iter: 2 value: -725.9284 mgc: 1.00103e-06 ustep: 1 iter: 3 mgc: 2.571277e-13 outer mgc: 0.4943219 iter: 1 value: -725.7906 mgc: 0.01021185 ustep: 1 iter: 2 value: -725.7906 mgc: 3.035435e-07 ustep: 1 iter: 3 mgc: 2.200462e-13 outer mgc: 0.06506456 iter: 1 value: -725.7976 mgc: 0.01023229 ustep: 1 iter: 2 value: -725.7976 mgc: 3.044411e-07 ustep: 1 iter: 3 mgc: 2.691181e-13 outer mgc: 0.06514882 iter: 1 value: -725.7729 mgc: 0.03251984 ustep: 1 iter: 2 value: -725.7729 mgc: 1.827161e-06 ustep: 1 iter: 3 mgc: 4.596323e-13 outer mgc: 0.1241804 iter: 1 value: -725.8153 mgc: 0.03258495 ustep: 1 iter: 2 value: -725.8153 mgc: 1.827436e-06 ustep: 1 iter: 3 mgc: 4.62741e-13 outer mgc: 0.1242245 iter: 1 value: -725.7897 mgc: 0.006274555 ustep: 1 iter: 2 value: -725.7897 mgc: 8.934096e-08 ustep: 1 iter: 3 mgc: 2.344791e-13 outer mgc: 0.0265494 iter: 1 value: -725.7986 mgc: 0.006280057 ustep: 1 iter: 2 value: -725.7986 mgc: 8.943248e-08 ustep: 1 iter: 3 mgc: 2.273737e-13 outer mgc: 0.02658394 iter: 1 value: -725.7946 mgc: 0.004531597 ustep: 1 iter: 2 value: -725.7946 mgc: 5.42292e-07 ustep: 1 iter: 3 mgc: 2.433609e-13 outer mgc: 0.2560595 iter: 1 value: -725.7934 mgc: 0.004531597 ustep: 1 iter: 2 value: -725.7934 mgc: 5.425118e-07 ustep: 1 iter: 3 mgc: 2.43805e-13 outer mgc: 0.2560613 iter: 1 value: -725.7935 mgc: 0.004287318 ustep: 1 iter: 2 value: -725.7935 mgc: 4.265916e-07 ustep: 1 iter: 3 mgc: 2.142175e-13 outer mgc: 0.2270938 iter: 1 value: -725.7946 mgc: 0.004287086 ustep: 1 iter: 2 value: -725.7946 mgc: 4.261417e-07 ustep: 1 iter: 3 mgc: 2.344791e-13 outer mgc: 0.2270693 iter: 1 value: -726.0028 mgc: 0.02113333 ustep: 1 iter: 2 value: -726.0028 mgc: 1.11688e-06 ustep: 1 iter: 3 mgc: 1.918465e-13 outer mgc: 0.1518049 iter: 1 value: -725.5856 mgc: 0.02108375 ustep: 1 iter: 2 value: -725.5856 mgc: 1.1166e-06 ustep: 1 iter: 3 mgc: 2.366995e-13 outer mgc: 0.1516689 iter: 1 value: -725.0867 mgc: 0.06551186 ustep: 1 iter: 2 value: -725.0867 mgc: 2.399933e-05 ustep: 1 iter: 3 mgc: 6.972201e-12 outer mgc: 2.427446 iter: 1 value: -726.4998 mgc: 0.06584385 ustep: 1 iter: 2 value: -726.4998 mgc: 2.435021e-05 ustep: 1 iter: 3 mgc: 7.251977e-12 outer mgc: 2.417969 outer mgc: 7.107803