One-observation-ahead residuals. Total number of observations: 511 [1] 511 [1] 510 [1] 509 [1] 508 [1] 507 [1] 506 [1] 505 [1] 504 [1] 503 [1] 502 [1] 501 [1] 500 [1] 499 [1] 498 [1] 497 [1] 496 [1] 495 [1] 494 [1] 493 [1] 492 [1] 491 [1] 490 [1] 489 [1] 488 [1] 487 [1] 486 [1] 485 [1] 484 [1] 483 [1] 482 [1] 481 [1] 480 [1] 479 [1] 478 [1] 477 [1] 476 [1] 475 [1] 474 [1] 473 [1] 472 [1] 471 [1] 470 [1] 469 [1] 468 [1] 467 [1] 466 [1] 465 [1] 464 [1] 463 [1] 462 [1] 461 [1] 460 [1] 459 [1] 458 [1] 457 [1] 456 [1] 455 [1] 454 [1] 453 [1] 452 [1] 451 [1] 450 [1] 449 [1] 448 [1] 447 [1] 446 [1] 445 [1] 444 [1] 443 [1] 442 [1] 441 [1] 440 [1] 439 [1] 438 [1] 437 [1] 436 [1] 435 [1] 434 [1] 433 [1] 432 [1] 431 [1] 430 [1] 429 [1] 428 [1] 427 [1] 426 [1] 425 [1] 424 [1] 423 [1] 422 [1] 421 [1] 420 [1] 419 [1] 418 [1] 417 [1] 416 [1] 415 [1] 414 [1] 413 [1] 412 [1] 411 [1] 410 [1] 409 [1] 408 [1] 407 [1] 406 [1] 405 [1] 404 [1] 403 [1] 402 [1] 401 [1] 400 [1] 399 [1] 398 [1] 397 [1] 396 [1] 395 [1] 394 [1] 393 [1] 392 [1] 391 [1] 390 [1] 389 [1] 388 [1] 387 [1] 386 [1] 385 [1] 384 [1] 383 [1] 382 [1] 381 [1] 380 [1] 379 [1] 378 [1] 377 [1] 376 [1] 375 [1] 374 [1] 373 [1] 372 [1] 371 [1] 370 [1] 369 [1] 368 [1] 367 [1] 366 [1] 365 [1] 364 [1] 363 [1] 362 [1] 361 [1] 360 [1] 359 [1] 358 [1] 357 [1] 356 [1] 355 [1] 354 [1] 353 [1] 352 [1] 351 [1] 350 [1] 349 [1] 348 [1] 347 [1] 346 [1] 345 [1] 344 [1] 343 [1] 342 [1] 341 [1] 340 [1] 339 [1] 338 [1] 337 [1] 336 [1] 335 [1] 334 [1] 333 [1] 332 [1] 331 [1] 330 [1] 329 [1] 328 [1] 327 [1] 326 [1] 325 [1] 324 [1] 323 [1] 322 [1] 321 [1] 320 [1] 319 [1] 318 [1] 317 [1] 316 [1] 315 [1] 314 [1] 313 [1] 312 [1] 311 [1] 310 [1] 309 [1] 308 [1] 307 [1] 306 [1] 305 [1] 304 [1] 303 [1] 302 [1] 301 [1] 300 [1] 299 [1] 298 [1] 297 [1] 296 [1] 295 [1] 294 [1] 293 [1] 292 [1] 291 [1] 290 [1] 289 [1] 288 [1] 287 [1] 286 [1] 285 [1] 284 [1] 283 [1] 282 [1] 281 [1] 280 [1] 279 [1] 278 [1] 277 [1] 276 [1] 275 [1] 274 [1] 273 [1] 272 [1] 271 [1] 270 [1] 269 [1] 268 [1] 267 [1] 266 [1] 265 [1] 264 [1] 263 [1] 262 [1] 261 [1] 260 [1] 259 [1] 258 [1] 257 [1] 256 [1] 255 [1] 254 [1] 253 [1] 252 [1] 251 [1] 250 [1] 249 [1] 248 [1] 247 [1] 246 [1] 245 [1] 244 [1] 243 [1] 242 [1] 241 [1] 240 [1] 239 [1] 238 [1] 237 [1] 236 [1] 235 [1] 234 [1] 233 [1] 232 [1] 231 [1] 230 [1] 229 [1] 228 [1] 227 [1] 226 [1] 225 [1] 224 [1] 223 [1] 222 [1] 221 [1] 220 [1] 219 [1] 218 [1] 217 [1] 216 [1] 215 [1] 214 [1] 213 [1] 212 [1] 211 [1] 210 [1] 209 [1] 208 [1] 207 [1] 206 [1] 205 [1] 204 [1] 203 [1] 202 [1] 201 [1] 200 [1] 199 [1] 198 [1] 197 [1] 196 [1] 195 [1] 194 [1] 193 [1] 192 [1] 191 [1] 190 [1] 189 [1] 188 [1] 187 [1] 186 [1] 185 [1] 184 [1] 183 [1] 182 [1] 181 [1] 180 [1] 179 [1] 178 [1] 177 [1] 176 [1] 175 [1] 174 [1] 173 [1] 172 [1] 171 [1] 170 [1] 169 [1] 168 [1] 167 [1] 166 [1] 165 [1] 164 [1] 163 [1] 162 [1] 161 [1] 160 [1] 159 [1] 158 [1] 157 [1] 156 [1] 155 [1] 154 [1] 153 [1] 152 [1] 151 [1] 150 [1] 149 [1] 148 [1] 147 [1] 146 [1] 145 [1] 144 [1] 143 [1] 142 [1] 141 [1] 140 [1] 139 [1] 138 [1] 137 [1] 136 [1] 135 [1] 134 [1] 133 [1] 132 [1] 131 [1] 130 [1] 129 [1] 128 [1] 127 [1] 126 [1] 125 [1] 124 [1] 123 [1] 122 [1] 121 [1] 120 [1] 119 [1] 118 [1] 117 [1] 116 [1] 115 [1] 114 [1] 113 [1] 112 [1] 111 [1] 110 [1] 109 [1] 108 [1] 107 [1] 106 [1] 105 [1] 104 [1] 103 [1] 102 [1] 101 [1] 100 [1] 99 [1] 98 [1] 97 [1] 96 [1] 95 [1] 94 [1] 93 [1] 92 [1] 91 [1] 90 [1] 89 [1] 88 [1] 87 [1] 86 [1] 85 [1] 84 [1] 83 [1] 82 [1] 81 [1] 80 [1] 79 [1] 78 [1] 77 [1] 76 [1] 75 [1] 74 [1] 73 [1] 72 [1] 71 [1] 70 [1] 69 [1] 68 [1] 67 [1] 66 [1] 65 [1] 64 [1] 63 [1] 62 [1] 61 [1] 60 [1] 59 [1] 58 [1] 57 [1] 56 [1] 55 [1] 54 [1] 53 [1] 52 [1] 51 [1] 50 [1] 49 [1] 48 [1] 47 [1] 46 [1] 45 [1] 44 [1] 43 [1] 42 [1] 41 [1] 40 [1] 39 [1] 38 [1] 37 [1] 36 [1] 35 [1] 34 [1] 33 [1] 32 [1] 31 [1] 30 [1] 29 [1] 28 [1] 27 [1] 26 [1] 25 [1] 24 [1] 23 [1] 22 [1] 21 [1] 20 [1] 19 [1] 18 [1] 17 [1] 16 [1] 15 [1] 14 [1] 13 [1] 12 [1] 11 [1] 10 [1] 9 [1] 8 [1] 7 [1] 6 [1] 5 [1] 4 [1] 3 [1] 2 [1] 1 One-observation-ahead residuals. Done iter: 1 mgc: 3.700087e-09 Matching hessian patterns... Done outer mgc: 9.615086e-13 iter: 1 value: -847.829 mgc: 0.01023602 ustep: 1 iter: 2 value: -847.829 mgc: 1.347274e-08 ustep: 1 mgc: 5.329071e-13 outer mgc: 0.1157941 iter: 1 value: -847.8286 mgc: 0.01023602 ustep: 1 iter: 2 value: -847.8286 mgc: 1.34722e-08 ustep: 1 mgc: 5.278e-13 outer mgc: 0.115794 iter: 1 value: -847.8292 mgc: 0.02313248 ustep: 1 iter: 2 value: -847.8292 mgc: 1.024426e-07 ustep: 1 iter: 3 mgc: 4.796163e-13 outer mgc: 0.2244478 iter: 1 value: -847.8284 mgc: 0.02313248 ustep: 1 iter: 2 value: -847.8284 mgc: 1.024315e-07 ustep: 1 iter: 3 mgc: 4.494183e-13 outer mgc: 0.2244473 iter: 1 value: -847.8301 mgc: 0.02670709 ustep: 1 iter: 2 value: -847.8301 mgc: 1.441345e-06 ustep: 1 iter: 3 mgc: 3.801404e-13 outer mgc: 0.6758828 iter: 1 value: -847.827 mgc: 0.02670708 ustep: 1 iter: 2 value: -847.827 mgc: 1.440729e-06 ustep: 1 iter: 3 mgc: 4.347633e-13 outer mgc: 0.6758677 iter: 1 value: -847.829 mgc: 0.03197613 ustep: 1 iter: 2 value: -847.829 mgc: 2.999529e-06 ustep: 1 iter: 3 mgc: 3.954059e-13 outer mgc: 0.2757532 iter: 1 value: -847.8286 mgc: 0.03197613 ustep: 1 iter: 2 value: -847.8286 mgc: 2.999055e-06 ustep: 1 iter: 3 mgc: 4.13003e-13 outer mgc: 0.2757559 iter: 1 value: -847.8292 mgc: 0.03086665 ustep: 1 iter: 2 value: -847.8292 mgc: 1.789208e-06 ustep: 1 iter: 3 mgc: 4.352074e-13 outer mgc: 0.2202302 iter: 1 value: -847.8284 mgc: 0.03086665 ustep: 1 iter: 2 value: -847.8284 mgc: 1.787794e-06 ustep: 1 iter: 3 mgc: 5.542233e-13 outer mgc: 0.2202305 iter: 1 value: -847.829 mgc: 0.02683272 ustep: 1 iter: 2 value: -847.829 mgc: 4.448331e-08 ustep: 1 iter: 3 mgc: 5.050405e-13 outer mgc: 0.3184559 iter: 1 value: -847.8284 mgc: 0.02683272 ustep: 1 iter: 2 value: -847.8284 mgc: 4.448669e-08 ustep: 1 iter: 3 mgc: 4.813927e-13 outer mgc: 0.3184558 iter: 1 value: -847.8287 mgc: 0.03169806 ustep: 1 iter: 2 value: -847.8287 mgc: 2.925918e-07 ustep: 1 iter: 3 mgc: 4.425349e-13 outer mgc: 0.4194341 iter: 1 value: -847.8286 mgc: 0.03169806 ustep: 1 iter: 2 value: -847.8286 mgc: 2.925181e-07 ustep: 1 iter: 3 mgc: 4.352074e-13 outer mgc: 0.4194338 iter: 1 value: -847.8288 mgc: 0.03110145 ustep: 1 iter: 2 value: -847.8288 mgc: 1.180183e-06 ustep: 1 iter: 3 mgc: 4.614087e-13 outer mgc: 0.4726721 iter: 1 value: -847.8285 mgc: 0.03110145 ustep: 1 iter: 2 value: -847.8285 mgc: 1.179351e-06 ustep: 1 iter: 3 mgc: 4.689582e-13 outer mgc: 0.4726731 iter: 1 value: -847.8289 mgc: 0.03109837 ustep: 1 iter: 2 value: -847.8289 mgc: 1.96551e-06 ustep: 1 iter: 3 mgc: 4.787941e-13 outer mgc: 0.4621977 iter: 1 value: -847.8284 mgc: 0.03109837 ustep: 1 iter: 2 value: -847.8284 mgc: 1.963935e-06 ustep: 1 iter: 3 mgc: 4.654055e-13 outer mgc: 0.4622044 iter: 1 value: -847.726 mgc: 0.01982728 ustep: 1 iter: 2 value: -847.726 mgc: 5.37148e-07 ustep: 1 iter: 3 mgc: 3.98348e-13 outer mgc: 0.06134612 iter: 1 value: -847.9317 mgc: 0.01986698 ustep: 1 iter: 2 value: -847.9317 mgc: 5.374696e-07 ustep: 1 iter: 3 mgc: 4.538592e-13 outer mgc: 0.06139814 iter: 1 value: -847.8255 mgc: 0.0166045 ustep: 1 iter: 2 mgc: 4.603379e-09 outer mgc: 0.03768795 iter: 1 value: -847.8323 mgc: 0.01663774 ustep: 1 iter: 2 mgc: 4.617224e-09 outer mgc: 0.03773307 iter: 1 value: -847.722 mgc: 0.02992565 ustep: 1 iter: 2 value: -847.722 mgc: 7.73451e-07 ustep: 1 iter: 3 mgc: 4.192202e-13 outer mgc: 0.02863766 iter: 1 value: -847.9358 mgc: 0.02998556 ustep: 1 iter: 2 value: -847.9358 mgc: 7.75164e-07 ustep: 1 iter: 3 mgc: 4.849454e-13 outer mgc: 0.02859253 iter: 1 value: -847.8245 mgc: 0.00622822 ustep: 1 iter: 2 value: -847.8245 mgc: 8.396997e-08 ustep: 1 mgc: 6.057377e-13 outer mgc: 0.03523876 iter: 1 value: -847.8332 mgc: 0.006240689 ustep: 1 iter: 2 value: -847.8332 mgc: 8.419711e-08 ustep: 1 mgc: 4.704136e-13 outer mgc: 0.03527758 iter: 1 value: -847.7732 mgc: 0.02016049 ustep: 1 iter: 2 value: -847.7732 mgc: 1.761922e-06 ustep: 1 iter: 3 mgc: 4.551914e-13 outer mgc: 0.1285905 iter: 1 value: -847.8845 mgc: 0.02020085 ustep: 1 iter: 2 value: -847.8845 mgc: 1.762367e-06 ustep: 1 iter: 3 mgc: 5.133671e-13 outer mgc: 0.1286268 iter: 1 value: -847.807 mgc: 0.02716682 ustep: 1 iter: 2 value: -847.807 mgc: 4.973916e-07 ustep: 1 iter: 3 mgc: 4.7784e-13 outer mgc: 0.2671709 iter: 1 value: -847.8505 mgc: 0.02722121 ustep: 1 iter: 2 value: -847.8505 mgc: 4.980642e-07 ustep: 1 iter: 3 mgc: 4.449774e-13 outer mgc: 0.2674973 iter: 1 value: -847.8245 mgc: 0.01742675 ustep: 1 iter: 2 value: -847.8245 mgc: 3.84846e-08 ustep: 1 mgc: 4.236611e-13 outer mgc: 0.04095852 iter: 1 value: -847.8333 mgc: 0.01746255 ustep: 1 iter: 2 value: -847.8333 mgc: 3.860266e-08 ustep: 1 mgc: 4.463097e-13 outer mgc: 0.04098894 iter: 1 value: -847.8122 mgc: 0.03065541 ustep: 1 iter: 2 value: -847.8122 mgc: 7.551802e-07 ustep: 1 iter: 3 mgc: 5.02709e-13 outer mgc: 0.175174 iter: 1 value: -847.8454 mgc: 0.03072456 ustep: 1 iter: 2 value: -847.8454 mgc: 7.595639e-07 ustep: 1 iter: 3 mgc: 4.867218e-13 outer mgc: 0.1753594 iter: 1 value: -847.8198 mgc: 0.03147289 ustep: 1 iter: 2 value: -847.8198 mgc: 8.816017e-07 ustep: 1 iter: 3 mgc: 4.103384e-13 outer mgc: 0.08939318 iter: 1 value: -847.8379 mgc: 0.03155473 ustep: 1 iter: 2 value: -847.8379 mgc: 8.833328e-07 ustep: 1 iter: 3 mgc: 5.571099e-13 outer mgc: 0.08949452 iter: 1 value: -847.8254 mgc: 0.007457677 ustep: 1 iter: 2 value: -847.8254 mgc: 3.383653e-08 ustep: 1 mgc: 5.053735e-13 outer mgc: 0.01482813 iter: 1 value: -847.8324 mgc: 0.00746483 ustep: 1 iter: 2 value: -847.8324 mgc: 3.389624e-08 ustep: 1 mgc: 4.383161e-13 outer mgc: 0.01484494 iter: 1 value: -847.8267 mgc: 0.00929161 ustep: 1 iter: 2 value: -847.8267 mgc: 3.61415e-08 ustep: 1 mgc: 5.266898e-13 outer mgc: 0.01605097 iter: 1 value: -847.8311 mgc: 0.009303376 ustep: 1 iter: 2 value: -847.8311 mgc: 3.61934e-08 ustep: 1 mgc: 4.543033e-13 outer mgc: 0.01607491 iter: 1 value: -847.8228 mgc: 0.01058601 ustep: 1 iter: 2 value: -847.8228 mgc: 1.231854e-07 ustep: 1 mgc: 4.201084e-13 outer mgc: 0.01165166 iter: 1 value: -847.835 mgc: 0.01059685 ustep: 1 iter: 2 value: -847.835 mgc: 1.232058e-07 ustep: 1 mgc: 4.514167e-13 outer mgc: 0.01165525 iter: 1 value: -847.923 mgc: 0.02006265 ustep: 1 iter: 2 value: -847.923 mgc: 7.035957e-07 ustep: 1 iter: 3 mgc: 4.505007e-13 outer mgc: 0.02149681 iter: 1 value: -847.7348 mgc: 0.02002296 ustep: 1 iter: 2 value: -847.7348 mgc: 7.041892e-07 ustep: 1 iter: 3 mgc: 5.053735e-13 outer mgc: 0.02149787 iter: 1 value: -847.8595 mgc: 0.01227682 ustep: 1 iter: 2 mgc: 4.902745e-13 outer mgc: 0.0478845 iter: 1 value: -847.7982 mgc: 0.01226455 ustep: 1 iter: 2 mgc: 4.902745e-13 outer mgc: 0.04785485 iter: 1 value: -847.8617 mgc: 0.01702676 ustep: 1 iter: 2 mgc: 4.902745e-13 outer mgc: 0.04474859 iter: 1 value: -847.7961 mgc: 0.01700975 ustep: 1 iter: 2 mgc: 4.902745e-13 outer mgc: 0.0447272 iter: 1 value: -847.7017 mgc: 0.05563927 ustep: 1 iter: 2 mgc: 4.902745e-13 outer mgc: 0.1878313 iter: 1 value: -847.9559 mgc: 0.05575065 ustep: 1 iter: 2 mgc: 4.902745e-13 outer mgc: 0.1879754 iter: 1 value: -847.8288 mgc: 0.03754855 ustep: 1 iter: 2 mgc: 4.902745e-13 outer mgc: 0.2388819 iter: 1 value: -847.8288 mgc: 0.03754855 ustep: 1 iter: 2 mgc: 4.902745e-13 outer mgc: 0.2388819 iter: 1 value: -847.8284 mgc: 0.07505431 ustep: 1 iter: 2 mgc: 4.902745e-13 outer mgc: 1.062665 iter: 1 value: -847.8284 mgc: 0.07505431 ustep: 1 iter: 2 mgc: 4.902745e-13 outer mgc: 1.062665 iter: 1 value: -847.8281 mgc: 0.07505432 ustep: 1 iter: 2 mgc: 4.902745e-13 outer mgc: 1.608583 iter: 1 value: -847.8281 mgc: 0.07505432 ustep: 1 iter: 2 mgc: 4.902745e-13 outer mgc: 1.608583 iter: 1 value: -847.8281 mgc: 0.07505431 ustep: 1 iter: 2 mgc: 4.902745e-13 outer mgc: 1.609499 iter: 1 value: -847.8281 mgc: 0.07505431 ustep: 1 iter: 2 mgc: 4.902745e-13 outer mgc: 1.609499 iter: 1 value: -847.8282 mgc: 0.07505431 ustep: 1 iter: 2 mgc: 4.902745e-13 outer mgc: 1.47402 iter: 1 value: -847.8282 mgc: 0.07505431 ustep: 1 iter: 2 mgc: 4.902745e-13 outer mgc: 1.47402 iter: 1 value: -847.8284 mgc: 0.07505431 ustep: 1 iter: 2 mgc: 4.902745e-13 outer mgc: 0.9696932 iter: 1 value: -847.8284 mgc: 0.07505431 ustep: 1 iter: 2 mgc: 4.902745e-13 outer mgc: 0.9696932 iter: 1 value: -847.8286 mgc: 0.03754855 ustep: 1 iter: 2 mgc: 4.902745e-13 outer mgc: 0.5287554 iter: 1 value: -847.8286 mgc: 0.03754855 ustep: 1 iter: 2 mgc: 4.902745e-13 outer mgc: 0.5287554 iter: 1 value: -847.8249 mgc: 0.01422283 ustep: 1 iter: 2 mgc: 4.902745e-13 outer mgc: 0.03593679 iter: 1 value: -847.8329 mgc: 0.01425131 ustep: 1 iter: 2 mgc: 4.902745e-13 outer mgc: 0.03596665 iter: 1 value: -847.7414 mgc: 0.05563926 ustep: 1 iter: 2 mgc: 4.902745e-13 outer mgc: 0.01959792 iter: 1 value: -847.9164 mgc: 0.05575066 ustep: 1 iter: 2 mgc: 4.902745e-13 outer mgc: 0.01958791 iter: 1 value: -847.8159 mgc: 0.04050948 ustep: 1 iter: 2 mgc: 4.902745e-13 outer mgc: 0.01308806 iter: 1 value: -847.8418 mgc: 0.04059058 ustep: 1 iter: 2 mgc: 4.902745e-13 outer mgc: 0.01306546 iter: 1 value: -847.8155 mgc: 0.0318368 ustep: 1 iter: 2 mgc: 4.902745e-13 outer mgc: 0.01193792 iter: 1 value: -847.8423 mgc: 0.03190054 ustep: 1 iter: 2 mgc: 4.902745e-13 outer mgc: 0.01195533 outer mgc: 10.17043