Table Xd. Forecasts for advice table |
|
Description\Variable | C18 | L18 | D18 | L3a4 | L6 | Fbar18 | Fbar18(L) | Fbar18(D) | SSB19 | SSB % change | TAC % change |
|
TAC constraint, then FMSY | 118460 | 103731 | 14729 | 93980 | 9751 | 0.358 | 0.318 | 0.040 | 279689 | 2.804 | -2.445 |
TAC constraint, then zero catch | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.000 | 0.000 | 0.000 | 394153 | 44.877 | -100.000 |
TAC constraint, then Fpa (1.4) | 130786 | 114463 | 16323 | 103704 | 10760 | 0.403 | 0.358 | 0.045 | 267945 | -1.513 | 7.648 |
TAC constraint, then Flim | 171024 | 149404 | 21620 | 135360 | 14044 | 0.564 | 0.501 | 0.063 | 229853 | -15.514 | 40.508 |
TAC constraint, then SSB2019 = Blim 107 000 | 310073 | 267552 | 42521 | 242402 | 25150 | 1.406 | 1.249 | 0.157 | 107000 | -60.671 | 151.621 |
TAC constraint, then SSB2019 = Bpa 150 000 | 259758 | 225247 | 34511 | 204073 | 21173 | 1.028 | 0.913 | 0.115 | 150000 | -44.865 | 111.835 |
TAC constraint, then F2017 | 124816 | 109286 | 15530 | 99013 | 10273 | 0.381 | 0.338 | 0.043 | 273559 | 0.551 | 2.779 |
TAC constraint, TAC 2017 | 121516 | 106331 | 15185 | 96336 | 9995 | 0.371 | 0.329 | 0.041 | 276208 | 1.524 | -0.000 |
TAC constraint, then FMSy lower (w AR) | 75093 | 65865 | 9228 | 59673 | 6191 | 0.213 | 0.189 | 0.024 | 321353 | 18.118 | -38.057 |
TAC constraint, then FMSy upper (w AR) | 153765 | 134418 | 19347 | 121783 | 12635 | 0.492 | 0.437 | 0.055 | 246136 | -9.529 | 26.415 |
TAC constraint, then FMSy lower (wo AR) | 74135 | 65026 | 9109 | 58914 | 6112 | 0.210 | 0.187 | 0.023 | 322278 | 18.458 | -38.846 |
TAC constraint, then F in 0.01 steps | 77317 | 67810 | 9506 | 61436 | 6374 | 0.220 | 0.195 | 0.025 | 319205 | 17.329 | -36.227 |
TAC constraint, then | 80468 | 70568 | 9900 | 63935 | 6633 | 0.230 | 0.204 | 0.026 | 316190 | 16.220 | -33.633 |
TAC constraint, then | 83589 | 73301 | 10288 | 66411 | 6890 | 0.240 | 0.213 | 0.027 | 313175 | 15.112 | -31.063 |
TAC constraint, then | 86678 | 76011 | 10668 | 68866 | 7145 | 0.250 | 0.222 | 0.028 | 310237 | 14.032 | -28.515 |
TAC constraint, then | 89748 | 78694 | 11054 | 71297 | 7397 | 0.260 | 0.231 | 0.029 | 307228 | 12.926 | -25.991 |
TAC constraint, then | 92791 | 81355 | 11436 | 73708 | 7647 | 0.270 | 0.240 | 0.030 | 304262 | 11.836 | -23.489 |
TAC constraint, then | 95803 | 83986 | 11817 | 76091 | 7895 | 0.280 | 0.249 | 0.031 | 301321 | 10.755 | -21.015 |
TAC constraint, then | 98791 | 86597 | 12194 | 78457 | 8140 | 0.290 | 0.258 | 0.032 | 298397 | 9.680 | -18.559 |
TAC constraint, then | 101752 | 89182 | 12570 | 80799 | 8383 | 0.300 | 0.266 | 0.034 | 295553 | 8.635 | -16.128 |
TAC constraint, then | 104698 | 91744 | 12955 | 83120 | 8624 | 0.310 | 0.275 | 0.035 | 292766 | 7.611 | -13.719 |
TAC constraint, then | 107619 | 94283 | 13336 | 85421 | 8863 | 0.320 | 0.284 | 0.036 | 290061 | 6.616 | -11.331 |
TAC constraint, then | 110508 | 96800 | 13708 | 87701 | 9099 | 0.330 | 0.293 | 0.037 | 287317 | 5.608 | -8.963 |
TAC constraint, then | 113369 | 99296 | 14074 | 89962 | 9334 | 0.340 | 0.302 | 0.038 | 284570 | 4.598 | -6.617 |
TAC constraint, then | 116206 | 101769 | 14437 | 92203 | 9566 | 0.350 | 0.311 | 0.039 | 281840 | 3.595 | -4.290 |
TAC constraint, then | 119021 | 104219 | 14802 | 94423 | 9797 | 0.360 | 0.320 | 0.040 | 279167 | 2.612 | -1.986 |
TAC constraint, then | 121793 | 106641 | 15152 | 96617 | 10024 | 0.370 | 0.329 | 0.041 | 276474 | 1.622 | 0.291 |
TAC constraint, then | 124541 | 109047 | 15494 | 98797 | 10250 | 0.380 | 0.338 | 0.042 | 273823 | 0.648 | 2.555 |
TAC constraint, then | 127279 | 111418 | 15861 | 100944 | 10473 | 0.390 | 0.346 | 0.044 | 271244 | -0.300 | 4.784 |
TAC constraint, then | 129980 | 113764 | 16216 | 103070 | 10694 | 0.400 | 0.355 | 0.045 | 268711 | -1.231 | 6.990 |
TAC constraint, then | 132657 | 116083 | 16574 | 105171 | 10912 | 0.410 | 0.364 | 0.046 | 266095 | -2.193 | 9.172 |
TAC constraint, then | 135316 | 118394 | 16922 | 107265 | 11129 | 0.420 | 0.373 | 0.047 | 263567 | -3.122 | 11.345 |
TAC constraint, then | 137954 | 120697 | 17257 | 109351 | 11346 | 0.430 | 0.382 | 0.048 | 261028 | -4.055 | 13.511 |
TAC constraint, then | 140562 | 122961 | 17601 | 111403 | 11558 | 0.440 | 0.391 | 0.049 | 258564 | -4.961 | 15.640 |
TAC constraint, then | 143149 | 125198 | 17951 | 113430 | 11769 | 0.450 | 0.400 | 0.050 | 256147 | -5.849 | 17.744 |
TAC constraint, then | 145720 | 127424 | 18296 | 115446 | 11978 | 0.460 | 0.409 | 0.051 | 253740 | -6.734 | 19.837 |
TAC constraint, then | 148261 | 129632 | 18629 | 117447 | 12185 | 0.470 | 0.417 | 0.053 | 251337 | -7.617 | 21.914 |
TAC constraint, then | 150776 | 131819 | 18956 | 119428 | 12391 | 0.480 | 0.426 | 0.054 | 248954 | -8.493 | 23.971 |
|