Table X. Forecasts (Fs and Catches are including estimated unallocated removals) |
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Description\Variable | Fbar17 | Fbar18 | Fbar19 | SSB17 | SSB18 | SSB19 | SSB % change | C17 | C18 | C19 |
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TAC constraint, then FMSY | 0.381 | 0.358 | 0.358 | 257329 | 272061 | 279689 | 2.804 | 123135 | 118460 | 119480 |
TAC constraint, then zero catch | 0.381 | 0.000 | 0.000 | 257329 | 272061 | 394153 | 44.877 | 123135 | 0 | 0 |
TAC constraint, then Fpa (1.4) | 0.381 | 0.403 | 0.403 | 257329 | 272061 | 267945 | -1.513 | 123135 | 130786 | 127490 |
TAC constraint, then Flim | 0.381 | 0.564 | 0.564 | 257329 | 272061 | 229853 | -15.514 | 123135 | 171024 | 148030 |
TAC constraint, then SSB2019 = Blim 107 000 | 0.381 | 1.406 | 1.406 | 257329 | 272061 | 107000 | -60.671 | 123135 | 310073 | 158548 |
TAC constraint, then SSB2019 = Bpa 150 000 | 0.381 | 1.028 | 1.028 | 257329 | 272061 | 150000 | -44.865 | 123135 | 259758 | 164788 |
TAC constraint, then F2017 | 0.381 | 0.381 | 0.381 | 257329 | 272061 | 273559 | 0.551 | 123135 | 124816 | 123695 |
TAC constraint, TAC 2017 | 0.381 | 0.371 | 0.371 | 257329 | 272061 | 276208 | 1.524 | 123135 | 121516 | 121547 |
TAC constraint, then FMSy lower (w AR) | 0.381 | 0.213 | 0.213 | 257329 | 272061 | 321353 | 18.118 | 123135 | 75093 | 84754 |
TAC constraint, then FMSy upper (w AR) | 0.381 | 0.492 | 0.492 | 257329 | 272061 | 246136 | -9.529 | 123135 | 153765 | 140197 |
TAC constraint, then FMSy lower (wo AR) | 0.381 | 0.210 | 0.210 | 257329 | 272061 | 322278 | 18.458 | 123135 | 74135 | 83874 |
TAC constraint, then F in 0.01 steps | 0.381 | 0.220 | 0.220 | 257329 | 272061 | 319205 | 17.329 | 123135 | 77317 | 86806 |
TAC constraint, then | 0.381 | 0.230 | 0.230 | 257329 | 272061 | 316190 | 16.220 | 123135 | 80468 | 89658 |
TAC constraint, then | 0.381 | 0.240 | 0.240 | 257329 | 272061 | 313175 | 15.112 | 123135 | 83589 | 92436 |
TAC constraint, then | 0.381 | 0.250 | 0.250 | 257329 | 272061 | 310237 | 14.032 | 123135 | 86678 | 95143 |
TAC constraint, then | 0.381 | 0.260 | 0.260 | 257329 | 272061 | 307228 | 12.926 | 123135 | 89748 | 97746 |
TAC constraint, then | 0.381 | 0.270 | 0.270 | 257329 | 272061 | 304262 | 11.836 | 123135 | 92791 | 100235 |
TAC constraint, then | 0.381 | 0.280 | 0.280 | 257329 | 272061 | 301321 | 10.755 | 123135 | 95803 | 102672 |
TAC constraint, then | 0.381 | 0.290 | 0.290 | 257329 | 272061 | 298397 | 9.680 | 123135 | 98791 | 105084 |
TAC constraint, then | 0.381 | 0.300 | 0.300 | 257329 | 272061 | 295553 | 8.635 | 123135 | 101752 | 107422 |
TAC constraint, then | 0.381 | 0.310 | 0.310 | 257329 | 272061 | 292766 | 7.611 | 123135 | 104698 | 109695 |
TAC constraint, then | 0.381 | 0.320 | 0.320 | 257329 | 272061 | 290061 | 6.616 | 123135 | 107619 | 111858 |
TAC constraint, then | 0.381 | 0.330 | 0.330 | 257329 | 272061 | 287317 | 5.608 | 123135 | 110508 | 113951 |
TAC constraint, then | 0.381 | 0.340 | 0.340 | 257329 | 272061 | 284570 | 4.598 | 123135 | 113369 | 115978 |
TAC constraint, then | 0.381 | 0.350 | 0.350 | 257329 | 272061 | 281840 | 3.595 | 123135 | 116206 | 117945 |
TAC constraint, then | 0.381 | 0.360 | 0.360 | 257329 | 272061 | 279167 | 2.612 | 123135 | 119021 | 119862 |
TAC constraint, then | 0.381 | 0.370 | 0.370 | 257329 | 272061 | 276474 | 1.622 | 123135 | 121793 | 121728 |
TAC constraint, then | 0.381 | 0.380 | 0.380 | 257329 | 272061 | 273823 | 0.648 | 123135 | 124541 | 123517 |
TAC constraint, then | 0.381 | 0.390 | 0.390 | 257329 | 272061 | 271244 | -0.300 | 123135 | 127279 | 125286 |
TAC constraint, then | 0.381 | 0.400 | 0.400 | 257329 | 272061 | 268711 | -1.231 | 123135 | 129980 | 126990 |
TAC constraint, then | 0.381 | 0.410 | 0.410 | 257329 | 272061 | 266095 | -2.193 | 123135 | 132657 | 128618 |
TAC constraint, then | 0.381 | 0.420 | 0.420 | 257329 | 272061 | 263567 | -3.122 | 123135 | 135316 | 130251 |
TAC constraint, then | 0.381 | 0.430 | 0.430 | 257329 | 272061 | 261028 | -4.055 | 123135 | 137954 | 131745 |
TAC constraint, then | 0.381 | 0.440 | 0.440 | 257329 | 272061 | 258564 | -4.961 | 123135 | 140562 | 133245 |
TAC constraint, then | 0.381 | 0.450 | 0.450 | 257329 | 272061 | 256147 | -5.849 | 123135 | 143149 | 134684 |
TAC constraint, then | 0.381 | 0.460 | 0.460 | 257329 | 272061 | 253740 | -6.734 | 123135 | 145720 | 136020 |
TAC constraint, then | 0.381 | 0.470 | 0.470 | 257329 | 272061 | 251337 | -7.617 | 123135 | 148261 | 137356 |
TAC constraint, then | 0.381 | 0.480 | 0.480 | 257329 | 272061 | 248954 | -8.493 | 123135 | 150776 | 138680 |
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