| Probability SSB < Bpa=460000 | ||||
| Scenario Year | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 |
| SQ all years | 0.978 | 0.991 | 0.999 | 0.975 |
| SQ then zero | 0.978 | 0.991 | 0.385 | 0.000 |
| 2026 official quota advice | 0.978 | 0.919 | 0.814 | 0.518 |
| 2026 Russian alternative HCR proposal | 0.978 | 0.919 | 0.880 | 0.671 |
| 2026 Average of official and Russian fishing level | 0.978 | 0.919 | 0.844 | 0.599 |