| Probability SSB < Blim=21000 | ||||
| Scenario Year | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 
| SQ all years | 0.227 | 0.245 | 0.545 | 0.652 | 
| TAC, then half | 0.227 | 0.035 | 0.035 | 0.040 | 
| TAC, then 3/4 | 0.227 | 0.035 | 0.071 | 0.117 | 
| TAC, then scale .9 | 0.227 | 0.035 | 0.093 | 0.169 | 
| TAC, then scale 1.1 | 0.227 | 0.035 | 0.141 | 0.257 | 
| TAC then zero | 0.227 | 0.035 | 0.001 | 0.000 | 
| TAC then Fmsy | 0.227 | 0.035 | 0.035 | 0.040 | 
| TAC then adjusted Fmsy | 0.227 | 0.035 | 0.016 | 0.011 | 
| SQ then .1894 | 0.227 | 0.245 | 0.113 | 0.066 | 
| TAC then Fpa | 0.227 | 0.035 | 0.257 | 0.434 | 
| TAC then Fp0.5 | 0.227 | 0.035 | 0.093 | 0.167 | 
| TAC then Flim | 0.227 | 0.035 | 0.407 | 0.606 | 
| TAC 5454 in 2021, then SQ | 0.227 | 0.035 | 0.111 | 0.209 |