Table X. Forecasts (Fs and Catches are including estimated unallocated removals) |
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Description\Variable | Fbar16 | Fbar17 | Fbar18 | SSB16 | SSB17 | SSB18 | SSB % change | C16 | C17 | C18 |
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Fpa | 0.21 | 0.07 | 0.07 | 612660 | 614427 | 684313 | 11 | 116474 | 40719 | 44576 |
Flim | 0.21 | 0.10 | 0.10 | 612660 | 614427 | 665156 | 8 | 116474 | 57432 | 61191 |
MSY Flower(AR) | 0.21 | 0.11 | 0.11 | 612660 | 614427 | 659071 | 7 | 116474 | 62881 | 66449 |
MSY Flower differing by 0.01 | 0.21 | 0.12 | 0.12 | 612660 | 614427 | 653559 | 6 | 116474 | 68267 | 71530 |
MSY Flower differing by 0.02 | 0.21 | 0.13 | 0.13 | 612660 | 614427 | 648119 | 5 | 116474 | 73637 | 76532 |
MSY Flower differing by 0.03 | 0.21 | 0.14 | 0.14 | 612660 | 614427 | 642378 | 5 | 116474 | 78960 | 81222 |
Fmsy=0.15=MSY Fupper | 0.21 | 0.15 | 0.15 | 612660 | 614427 | 636603 | 4 | 116474 | 84238 | 85839 |
MSY Fupper(AR) differing by 0.02 | 0.21 | 0.16 | 0.16 | 612660 | 614427 | 630899 | 3 | 116474 | 89467 | 90512 |
MSY Fupper(AR) differing by 0.01 | 0.21 | 0.17 | 0.17 | 612660 | 614427 | 625332 | 2 | 116474 | 94619 | 94963 |
MSY Fupper(AR) | 0.21 | 0.18 | 0.18 | 612660 | 614427 | 619648 | 1 | 116474 | 99737 | 99193 |
Fsq, then F = Fmsy | 0.21 | 0.15 | 0.15 | 612660 | 614427 | 636603 | 4 | 116474 | 84238 | 85839 |
Fsq, then F = Fmsy_new_upper | 0.21 | 0.12 | 0.12 | 612660 | 614427 | 653559 | 6 | 116474 | 68267 | 71530 |
Fsq, then F = Fmsy_lower | 0.21 | 0.09 | 0.09 | 612660 | 614427 | 671519 | 9 | 116474 | 51904 | 55810 |
Fsq all years | 0.21 | 0.21 | 0.21 | 612660 | 614427 | 600900 | -2 | 116474 | 116921 | 112977 |
Fsq, then zero catch | 0.21 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 612660 | 614427 | 728125 | 19 | 116474 | 0 | 0 |
Fsq, then F = 0.2 | 0.21 | 0.20 | 0.20 | 612660 | 614427 | 608699 | -1 | 116474 | 109768 | 107422 |
Fsq, then FMult=0 | 0.21 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 612660 | 614427 | 728125 | 19 | 116474 | 0 | 0 |
Fsq, then FMult=1,1 | 0.21 | 0.24 | 0.24 | 612660 | 614427 | 589660 | -4 | 116474 | 127366 | 120953 |
Fsq, then FMult=1,2 | 0.21 | 0.26 | 0.26 | 612660 | 614427 | 578599 | -6 | 116474 | 137633 | 128471 |
Fsq, then FMult=1,3 | 0.21 | 0.28 | 0.28 | 612660 | 614427 | 567463 | -8 | 116474 | 147735 | 135570 |
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