| Probability SSB < Blim=21000 | ||||
| Scenario Year | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 
| SQ all years | 0.946 | 0.961 | 0.861 | 0.758 | 
| TAC, then half | 0.946 | 0.766 | 0.418 | 0.224 | 
| TAC, then 3/4 | 0.946 | 0.766 | 0.512 | 0.329 | 
| TAC, then scale .9 | 0.946 | 0.766 | 0.566 | 0.414 | 
| TAC, then scale 1.1 | 0.946 | 0.766 | 0.630 | 0.489 | 
| TAC then zero | 0.946 | 0.766 | 0.224 | 0.033 | 
| TAC then Fmsy | 0.946 | 0.766 | 0.436 | 0.241 | 
| TAC then adjusted Fmsy | 0.946 | 0.766 | 0.354 | 0.127 | 
| SQ then .1894 | 0.946 | 0.961 | 0.619 | 0.288 | 
| TAC then Fpa | 0.946 | 0.766 | 0.739 | 0.648 | 
| TAC then Fp0.5 | 0.946 | 0.766 | 0.585 | 0.435 | 
| TAC then Flim | 0.946 | 0.766 | 0.813 | 0.755 | 
| TAC 5454 in 2021, then SQ | 0.946 | 0.766 | 0.596 | 0.453 |